AASB S2 / IFRS S2

Climate risk quantification built to survive assurance.

Australia’s first cohort of AASB S2 reporters described their climate risk - but most stopped short of a defensible dollar figure. Meridian produces one: physical and transition risk quantified in your reporting currency across NGFS, IEA and IPCC scenarios, with every figure traceable and every adjustment recorded for assurance.

Scenario sets
3
Sourced reference findings
1,700+
Sector channels
60+

Transmission channel mapping

Sample asset: Northgate fuel terminal, Gladstone QLD

NGFS Phase V · Net Zero 2050 · 2030 horizon (short term)

Ready for assurance
−7.8−5.9−2.6ScenarioNGFS NZ2050CO₂ A$281/t · 2030Carbon pricetransition · DCFChronic heatphysical · damage fnDemand shifttransition · DCFModelled annual loss−A$16.3m90% range ±A$2.2m
Sample asset (Northgate fuel terminal): modelled annual loss by transmission channel, 2030
ChannelTypeAnnual loss (A$m)Source
Carbon price pass-throughtransition−7.8NGFS Phase V - carbon prices
Chronic heat - labourphysical−5.9IPCC AR6 WGII Ch.11
Demand shift - transporttransition−2.6IEA WEO 2025 T.5.1

Sample asset · Modelled annual loss · 2030

Grounded in the standards and data your assurer already trusts

Who it’s for

Built for Australia’s next wave of climate reporters.

AASB S2 climate reporting is mandatory and phases in by company size. Group 1 began in 2025, and Groups 2 and 3 - the mid-market - follow. Meridian takes you a step beyond describing your climate risk: a defensible dollar figure, ready for where reporting is heading, without a consultancy budget.

Group 1

Reporting years starting from

1 January 2025

Revenue
≥ A$500M
Gross assets
≥ A$1.0B
Employees
≥ 500

Group 2

Meridian’s focus

Reporting years starting from

1 July 2026

Revenue
≥ A$200M
Gross assets
≥ A$500M
Employees
≥ 250

Group 3

Meridian’s focus

Reporting years starting from

1 July 2027

Revenue
≥ A$50M
Gross assets
≥ A$25M
Employees
≥ 100

A company is in a group if it meets at least two of the three thresholds. NGER reporters and asset owners with A$5bn or more under management are brought in separately. This is a guide, not legal advice.

Not in scope yet? Lenders and investors still ask - and your first mandatory report becomes an update, not a scramble. See pricing by size

Process

Five steps from company to quantified climate risk.

The pipeline mirrors how a senior analyst works - with a mandatory human sign-off before the numbers are published.

  1. Company input

    Sector, geography and financial baseline captured once - cached and reusable for 12 months.

  2. Scenario selection

    Choose pathways and horizons across NGFS Phase V, IEA WEO 2025 and IPCC AR6 scenario sets. Channel coefficients cite the IEA edition they derive from (e.g. NZE 2021, WEO 2023).

  3. Transmission channel mapping

    Physical and transition drivers mapped to financial line items with weighted, sourced coefficients.

  4. Gate 1 preparer sign-off

    The company confirms its own inputs and explicitly owns any change it makes to Meridian's methodology - every adjustment carries a documented reason - before the numbers are published.

  5. Modelled best-estimate output

    Your expected annual loss, plus the upside opportunities. Asset-level models run wherever your data supports them, with sourced coefficients filling the gaps. Every figure maps to the line item it affects and comes with a 90% range and full citations.

Platform

Built for the scrutiny your numbers will face.

Defensible dollars, not narrative

Physical and transition risk in one dollar figure.

Damage models for hazards, discounted cash-flow for carbon and demand, with a modelled range around every number rather than false precision. Bushfire is calibrated to verified realised losses; cyclone, flood and coastal are anchored to the published science until enough verified events allow the same. Coefficients grounded in and back-tested against peer disclosures - the number capital markets and ASIC are now asking for.

Physical + transition · reporting-currency ranges · per scenario

Scientific traceability

Every coefficient is cited to its source - IPCC AR6 chapter, NGFS Phase V variable, IEA WEO table, Australian Climate Service grid - down to the section, or disclosed as a documented Meridian judgment - nothing unlabelled reaches your disclosure.

IPCC AR6 · NGFS Phase V · IEA WEO (cited by edition) · ACS

Built for assurance

Every number traces to its source and its version.

Each input, adjustment and sign-off is recorded in a trail that can't be edited after the fact, and every figure is locked to the exact data and model version behind it - so your assurer can re-check any number. The engine and methodology themselves are built for central, independent assurance: an ASAE 3402 service report (an independent auditor's report on how a service is run) that Meridian is putting in place for your assurer to rely on.

Re-checkable · version-locked · ASAE 3402 report forthcoming

Risks and opportunities, both quantified

Most first-year disclosures put a number on downside risk only, and many disclose no opportunities at all. Meridian quantifies the upside - resource efficiency, new markets, adaptation - alongside the risk, as AASB S2 requires.

Downside + upside, on the same basis

Australian-native by design

Australian Climate Service 5 km grids, at your sites.

Bushfire, heat, flood and cyclone hazards are read at each site, or its postcode where no address resolves, with an uncertainty range rather than a single number. Bushfire damage is checked against real Australian fire losses. AASB S2 phase-in is keyed to your size, and materiality uses a documented threshold. Not a global model bent to fit.

ACS grids · uncertainty ranges · calibrated bushfire

Cache-first efficiency

Reference data - scenarios, coefficients, sources - is cached indefinitely; company data for 12 months. Repeat analyses take minutes, not another full project - and next year is an update, not a restart.

Reference: indefinite · Company: 12 months